Tennis · resolved market
ITF Landisville: Madison Sieg vs Malaika Rapolu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008860fba1bce3d9dda027ce0c3dc402b5d6f817220fd5f596b6e4fc8df86358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Siegof Madison Sieg, Malaika Rapolu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Malaika Rapolu | 17c | 5,427$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.34 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Madison Sieg | 66c | 2,603$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.03 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Malaika Rapolu | 9c | 1,168$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Malaika Rapolu | 3c | 999.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Malaika Rapolu | 25c | 357.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Madison Sieg | 67c | 248.28$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Malaika Rapolu | 17c | 164.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Madison Sieg | 67c | 147$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Malaika Rapolu | 11c | 130.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Malaika Rapolu | 36c | 111.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Malaika Rapolu | 15c | 111$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Malaika Rapolu | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Madison Sieg | 27c | 95.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Malaika Rapolu | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Madison Sieg | 66c | 86.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Madison Sieg | 67c | 70.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Madison Sieg | 30c | 44.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Madison Sieg | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Madison Sieg | 32c | 35.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Malaika Rapolu | 70c | 33.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Malaika Rapolu | 69c | 23.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Madison Sieg | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Madison Sieg | 67c | 20.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 277 | 49.1%136 W · 141 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Madison Sieg | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.