Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open, Qualification: Daria Snigur vs Aliona Bolsova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008f1ce6a4c6a6ad1256686a86ab5c91b4630e7678296a4787a5e782a44bd7cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Snigurof Snigur, Bolsova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c09…e43bbacked Bolsova | 6c | 1,265$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bolsova | 25c | 601.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…f893backed Bolsova | 16c | 303.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Bolsova | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…b7e5backed Bolsova | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bolsova | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Bolsova | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bolsova | 16c | 196.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Snigur | 76c | 173.11$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Snigur | 79c | 129.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Snigur | 78c | 72.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Snigur | 70c | 68.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Bolsova | 19c | 64.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bolsova | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Snigur | 70c | 40.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Snigur | 76c | 26.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Transylvania Open, Qualification: Daria Snigur vs Aliona Bolsovathis page
- Snigur vs. Bolsova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.