Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Landaluce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e4d81f221dda7ecb2f78b6fc76fb0243045ecc463284083dfa282b92f6ec2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Tirante, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tirante | 50c | 1,162$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Landaluce | 45c | 854.42$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.49 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Tirante | 52c | 721.15$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.15 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Landaluce | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Tirante | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Landaluce | 37c | 327.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Landaluce | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…6f13backed Tirante | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Landaluce | 45c | 130.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Landaluce | 37c | 102.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…a827backed Landaluce | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36dc…531bbacked Tirante | 57c | 88.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tirante | 57c | 48.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…9491backed Tirante | 67c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Tirante | 79c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs Landalucethis page
- Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin LandaluceThiago Agustin Tirante won
- Set 2 Winner: Tirante vs LandaluceTirante won
- Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)Tirante won
- Tirante vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.