Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09170dad0f51807fd386fa954df1f5d60cc791b7c2120a29422f6fd7876ac591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiranteof Tirante, Landaluce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed Landaluce | 68c | 16,120$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tirante | 31c | 4,872$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.17 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Tirante | 31c | 3,215$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.6 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tirante | 31c | 2,936$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.63 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Tirante | 34c | 2,477$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.58 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Tirante | 35c | 999.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.98 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Landaluce | 66c | 618.59$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tirante | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Tirante | 34c | 532.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.29 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Landaluce | 65c | 403.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…c0d5backed Tirante | 35c | 403.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Landaluce | 68c | 322.39$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tirante | 34c | 235$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Tirante | 32c | 156.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tirante | 34c | 110.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Landaluce | 69c | 71.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Landaluce | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Landaluce | 47c | 26.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tirante | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tirante | 41c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Landaluce | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tirante (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin LandaluceThiago Agustin Tirante won
- Set 1 Winner: Tirante vs LandaluceTirante won
- Set 2 Winner: Tirante vs LandaluceTirante won
- Tirante vs. Landaluce: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.