Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f8d107e72e4502c54e6f51cb6db200f855aef5b5a712e3b4af52bb1e5318ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed NAVI Junior | 12c | 1,845$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 1,604$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.38 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked NAVI Junior | 38c | 626$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed NAVI Junior | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed NAVI Junior | 22c | 461.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NAVI Junior | 5c | 432.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked NAVI Junior | 18c | 330.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 324.53$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked NAVI Junior | 15c | 279.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 266.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yellow Submarine | 77c | 246.32$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed NAVI Junior | 17c | 180.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked NAVI Junior | 10c | 150.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked NAVI Junior | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed NAVI Junior | 19c | 140$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 139.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked NAVI Junior | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NAVI Junior | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed NAVI Junior | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked NAVI Junior | 12c | 84.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed NAVI Junior | 38c | 81.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked NAVI Junior | 18c | 81.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yellow Submarine | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed NAVI Junior | 29c | 65.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed NAVI Junior | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NAVI Junior | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 35.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Yellow Submarine | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs NAVI Junior - Game 1 WinnerNAVI Junior won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs NAVI Junior - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs NAVI Junior (+1.5)NAVI Junior won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.