Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01128c944fadc738bdb9a251efd87f1d54273516d70537f76766114a2f1590b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof Western Michigan Broncos, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 566.91$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Western Michigan Broncos | 32c | 431.19$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Western Michigan Broncos | 3c | 417.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 405$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Western Michigan Broncos | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Western Michigan Broncos | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 63c | 218.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Western Michigan Broncos | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 38c | 185$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Michigan Broncos | 19c | 139.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 80c | 130.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 80c | 127.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Western Michigan Broncos | 38c | 121.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 13c | 115.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 107$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 80c | 96.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ba…1783backed Western Michigan Broncos | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 38c | 73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 63c | 62.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f27…781dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 78cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Michigan Broncos | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 74c | 32.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 72c | 19.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 60c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 73c | 14.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Central Michigan Chippewasthis page
- Spread: Central Michigan Chippewas (-4.5)Central Michigan Chippewas won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 150.5Over won
- Western Michigan Broncos vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.