CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0121eb384bdf181d8376a3bca804fb5352c4bf6ba87a497f5495c8bd464abe4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof TDK, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TDK | 79c | 3,105$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed TNC | 20c | 2,495$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.95 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed TDK | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TNC | 25c | 745$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNC | 25c | 609.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed TNC | 35c | 566.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked TNC | 22c | 371.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked TNC | 25c | 336$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TNC | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TDK | 73c | 219.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed TDK | 79c | 162.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed TNC | 13c | 142.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…5258backed TNC | 22c | 127$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 74c | 113.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TDK | 76c | 108$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed TDK | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked TNC | 28c | 74.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed TDK | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed TDK | 77c | 62.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed TDK | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed TDK | 68c | 44.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed TDK | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed TDK | 75c | 33.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed TDK | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed TDK | 80c | 26.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed TDK | 51c | 25.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed TDK | 79c | 25.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed TDK | 80c | 22.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TDK vs TNC - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.