TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Rare Atom (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rare Atomof SemperFi Esports, Rare Atom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4c0…92d8backed Rare Atom49c2,682$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.122552%13 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rare Atom52c1,930$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.915,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed SemperFi Esports51c961.08$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.152958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed SemperFi Esports43c721.13$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.0929851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rare Atom47c685.87$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.361,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Rare Atom50c605.38$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.7529858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked SemperFi Esports56c536.09$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.995644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed SemperFi Esports59c498.73$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.5613267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf40f…8dcfbacked SemperFi Esports48c494.43$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.864959.2%29 W · 20 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick37cpaid+67.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked SemperFi Esports51c494.32$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.112469.4%86 W · 38 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed SemperFi Esports52c477.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3144643.5%194 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Rare Atom49c454.5$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.364,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked SemperFi Esports51c427.17$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6612746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed SemperFi Esports44c419.28$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.838839.4%153 W · 235 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Rare Atom45c412.15$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.685,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7441…4891backed Rare Atom61c396.83$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed SemperFi Esports45c369.92$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16517857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Rare Atom41c345.71$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4330338.9%118 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed SemperFi Esports51c319.73$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0641847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Rare Atom52c319.47$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.766,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6266…bd34backed SemperFi Esports22c305.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Rare Atom49c296.16$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7417930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3259…68adbacked SemperFi Esports49c292.71$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked SemperFi Esports58c291.21$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.710331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed SemperFi Esports58c243.52$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3828453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed SemperFi Esports38c236.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6922734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed SemperFi Esports51c213.27$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6115358.2%89 W · 64 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked SemperFi Esports50c194.97$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.496450%32 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Rare Atom50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Rare Atom42c191.67$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.175048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Rare Atom41c191.31$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5738950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked SemperFi Esports51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0622542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked SemperFi Esports55c177.47$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2917053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed SemperFi Esports55c163.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9125147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked SemperFi Esports60c148.31$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2428644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…0639backed SemperFi Esports56c132.19$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Rare Atom58c131.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5547447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed SemperFi Esports49c112.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.41,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Rare Atom45c105.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.281,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked SemperFi Esports56c99.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4615732.5%51 W · 106 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6722…865fbacked Rare Atom68c71.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5827754.9%152 W · 125 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked SemperFi Esports47c70.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.497536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked SemperFi Esports59c64.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.868248.8%40 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8ff…6431backed SemperFi Esports51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1223165.8%152 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed SemperFi Esports50c54.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1673758.2%429 W · 308 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a5…64fabacked SemperFi Esports55c51.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.221942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb6…ef3abacked SemperFi Esports50c50.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked SemperFi Esports50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Rare Atom54c48.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3420455.9%114 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Rare Atom59c47.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2810752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked SemperFi Esports51c44.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9413258.3%77 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…4cc3backed SemperFi Esports50c42.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3416958%98 W · 71 L-0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rare Atom57c40.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Rare Atom50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011057.3%63 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed SemperFi Esports41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.46654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rare Atom57c39.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.057,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed SemperFi Esports54c35.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.975048.4%363 W · 387 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Rare Atom50c33.83$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9235752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked SemperFi Esports58c33.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4912948.8%63 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Rare Atom47c33.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4533348.9%163 W · 170 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d5…5bbebacked SemperFi Esports53c32.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.977162%44 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a36…53acbacked SemperFi Esports53c31.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed SemperFi Esports48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.538033.8%27 W · 53 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Rare Atom40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1811450.9%58 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Rare Atom49c29.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.139755.7%54 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed SemperFi Esports55c28.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5726564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed SemperFi Esports80c27.01$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6116464.6%106 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3162…da1abacked Rare Atom52c26.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.72356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e85…3015backed SemperFi Esports39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.148563.5%54 W · 31 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9d4…dcc9backed SemperFi Esports57c25.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Rare Atom43c25.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.592,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb7ad…68c9backed Rare Atom47c25.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4324051.7%124 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4048…d4adbacked SemperFi Esports52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134820.8%10 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x212e…791abacked SemperFi Esports48c24.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.842755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed SemperFi Esports55c20.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2181551.7%421 W · 394 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked SemperFi Esports63c20.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7640148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Rare Atom50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfd…4540backed Rare Atom51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…7e30backed SemperFi Esports66c17.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761963.2%12 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.