Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01652c61340477958302776e6cd5dbe2219143a8c6d1ef4cbc04cd5473ce24c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Collignonof Shevchenko, Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Shevchenko | 1c | 7,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Collignon | 72c | 2,491$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.11 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shevchenko | 19c | 2,466$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Shevchenko | 32c | 1,828$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.39 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shevchenko | 3c | 1,102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shevchenko | 28c | 1,053$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.54 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Shevchenko | 32c | 850$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Collignon | 63c | 575.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Collignon | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Shevchenko | 36c | 422.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.01 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Collignon | 73c | 338.28$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.12 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Shevchenko | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed Shevchenko | 17c | 243.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Shevchenko | 36c | 238.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Shevchenko | 33c | 202.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Shevchenko | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Collignon | 64c | 160$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shevchenko | 8c | 144.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…9eb5backed Shevchenko | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Collignon | 69c | 111.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Shevchenko | 14c | 102.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Shevchenko | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Shevchenko | 31c | 65.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Collignon | 69c | 65.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Collignon | 56c | 64.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932d…68d5backed Shevchenko | 29c | 59.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Shevchenko | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Shevchenko | 36c | 48.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Shevchenko | 34c | 43.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Collignon | 66c | 37.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Collignon | 67c | 37.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shevchenko | 34c | 37.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Collignon | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3f…3badbacked Shevchenko | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb203…8e45backed Collignon | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Collignon | 66c | 18.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f82…0ffebacked Collignon | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Collignon | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raphael Collignonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs CollignonCollignon won
- Shevchenko vs. Collignon: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.