Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Matt Kuhar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0171752e4fafb626987c2b339e20994c1ae49c655317f812a5564c05ba2cc848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandezof Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, Matt Kuhar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Matt Kuhar | 10c | 10,511$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Matt Kuhar | 12c | 2,702$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.86 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Matt Kuhar | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matt Kuhar | 25c | 1,245$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.91 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matt Kuhar | 10c | 1,105$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Matt Kuhar | 37c | 870$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.9 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matt Kuhar | 33c | 378.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Matt Kuhar | 10c | 371.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Matt Kuhar | 16c | 297.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 73c | 227.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Matt Kuhar | 27c | 189.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 79c | 178$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matt Kuhar | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Matt Kuhar | 28c | 146.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Matt Kuhar | 27c | 145.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f0…810bbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 73c | 106.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Matt Kuhar | 13c | 104.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 80c | 89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Matt Kuhar | 25c | 87.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 72c | 78.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Matt Kuhar | 28c | 52.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Matt Kuhar | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Matt Kuhar | 25c | 40.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Matt Kuhar | 33c | 36.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Matt Kuhar | 33c | 33.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 178 | 60.1%107 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 80c | 12.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.59 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.