Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x017d35764d608a30491ec3ab8a73edd3fc489cd59accdb7fe4509c02a7119dc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof hAze clan, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed L1ga Team | 71c | 1,191$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.42 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed hAze clan | 20c | 575.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed hAze clan | 57c | 305.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.13 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed hAze clan | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked hAze clan | 17c | 161.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked L1ga Team | 68c | 149.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed hAze clan | 34c | 143.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed hAze clan | 46c | 107$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked hAze clan | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed hAze clan | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed L1ga Team | 68c | 66.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked hAze clan | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked L1ga Team | 47c | 51.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- First Blood in Game 2?L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.