Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c6569e2acadf24aff6d05c43e960b71ccf8643f95e15ab8d57b1ce9eee438a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof hAze clan, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked hAze clan | 52c | 1,097$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.77 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed L1ga Team | 73c | 873.83$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed L1ga Team | 38c | 524.16$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked hAze clan | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked L1ga Team | 53c | 187.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed hAze clan | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed L1ga Team | 36c | 79.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked hAze clan | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked L1ga Team | 69c | 66.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked hAze clan | 31c | 64.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed hAze clan | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked hAze clan | 65c | 40.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed hAze clan | 32c | 37.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 35.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed L1ga Team | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed hAze clan | 53c | 25.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: hAze clan vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- First Blood in Game 2?L1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.