Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Navarro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019dba89a5aed78a818eb9793325ff778027b93ac954cedd8f97421aaa0d3c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bouzkovaof Bouzkova, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Navarro | 50c | 494.13$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bouzkova | 57c | 202$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4c…b237backed Bouzkova | 66c | 159.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.42 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bouzkova | 47c | 132.87$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…aa10backed Navarro | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bouzkova | 43c | 98.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Navarro | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Bouzkova | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Navarro | 44c | 86.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…fb88backed Bouzkova | 65c | 75.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Navarro | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Navarro | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bouzkova | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Bouzkova | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bouzkova | 55c | 23.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Navarro | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Navarrothis page
- Marie Bouzkova vs. Emma Navarro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma NavarroMarie Bouzkova won
- Set Handicap: Bouzkova (-1.5) vs Navarro (+1.5)Navarro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.