Tennis · resolved market
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Alan Rubio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01aebecc3f6b1485e8f847ee65cc42ce4d8062b586166ee0b6c5d2944b367229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Soon-Woo Kwonof Soon-Woo Kwon, Alan Rubio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alan Rubio | 10c | 13,864$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.99 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alan Rubio | 6c | 4,787$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.42 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Alan Rubio | 7c | 2,811$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Alan Rubio | 11c | 1,755$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 219 | 37.9%83 W · 136 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…4b77backed Alan Rubio | 18c | 1,722$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Alan Rubio | 10c | 1,375$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.9 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alan Rubio | 2c | 1,318$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alan Rubio | 7c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…6dfdbacked Alan Rubio | 6c | 999.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Alan Rubio | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alan Rubio | 7c | 591.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Alan Rubio | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…39a0backed Alan Rubio | 10c | 445$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alan Rubio | 13c | 443.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Alan Rubio | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alan Rubio | 12c | 380.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Alan Rubio | 6c | 309.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 10.7%11 W · 92 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Alan Rubio | 13c | 305$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…0b93backed Alan Rubio | 8c | 280.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…9fd7backed Alan Rubio | 12c | 245.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Alan Rubio | 13c | 196$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alan Rubio | 14c | 186.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alan Rubio | 14c | 186$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alan Rubio | 14c | 174.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Alan Rubio | 8c | 128.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…57adbacked Alan Rubio | 15c | 110$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alan Rubio | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.