NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d2050518eb94e55202160cfc72b415b2ef2c037136049d9959da1a8ec3c688
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Senators, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd1c…0ccfbacked Senators | 50c | 10,067$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b41…2521backed Blues | 50c | 10,031$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blues | 53c | 3,420$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.16 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.98 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Blues | 51c | 1,963$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.71 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Senators | 52c | 1,939$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…c63ebacked Blues | 54c | 1,867$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.17 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Blues | 49c | 1,860$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Senators | 46c | 1,810$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.79 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Blues | 53c | 1,329$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.07 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Blues | 51c | 1,076$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 48c | 749.91$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.46 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…252fbacked Senators | 48c | 680$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Senators | 47c | 526.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.64 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Senators | 47c | 489.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.29 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Senators | 47c | 484.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 48c | 423.6$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.1 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 47c | 415.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ad…5a1fbacked Senators | 49c | 409.92$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…6d6cbacked Senators | 48c | 392.64$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Senators | 47c | 356.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Senators | 14c | 335.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Senators | 48c | 291$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 48c | 230.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…318cbacked Senators | 51c | 209.98$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…5094backed Blues | 50c | 209.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 48c | 204.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…69b4backed Senators | 51c | 204.02$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…381abacked Blues | 52c | 204.01$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…8791backed Blues | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…a223backed Senators | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…8d9cbacked Blues | 50c | 204$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7394…58b7backed Senators | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496d…55f0backed Blues | 51c | 203.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…f651backed Senators | 51c | 203.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a4…ed4dbacked Senators | 50c | 202.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…bc1bbacked Blues | 50c | 202.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…2f79backed Senators | 51c | 202.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c6…a1aebacked Senators | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…ed3dbacked Blues | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…a9b9backed Blues | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…768bbacked Senators | 51c | 202$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…59c4backed Blues | 51c | 201.94$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blues | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Senators | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…56bdbacked Senators | 51c | 198.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…828fbacked Blues | 51c | 198.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…e077backed Senators | 51c | 197.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…ff9ebacked Blues | 52c | 196.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Senators | 10c | 194.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…7768backed Blues | 52c | 191.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blues | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blues | 53c | 167.2$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Senators | 49c | 133.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…1ae2backed Senators | 49c | 110.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Senators | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Senators | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Senators | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Senators | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Senators | 18c | 99.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…b90fbacked Senators | 48c | 80.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Senators | 47c | 77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…33b7backed Blues | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Blues | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…cc5abacked Blues | 52c | 70.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…f69ebacked Blues | 52c | 70.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Blues | 51c | 59.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…698ebacked Blues | 53c | 56.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed Senators | 53c | 50.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Blues | 50c | 50.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Blues | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1864…7519backed Blues | 52c | 46.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…70f8backed Senators | 48c | 46.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…8f43backed Senators | 48c | 46.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…e3ddbacked Senators | 48c | 46.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…b798backed Senators | 48c | 45.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b39…85a1backed Blues | 49c | 45.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…d1d6backed Senators | 49c | 45.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862b…4826backed Senators | 50c | 45.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ca…e9edbacked Senators | 50c | 45.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…4852backed Blues | 52c | 45.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…a2c1backed Senators | 48c | 45.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…1955backed Blues | 53c | 45.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…3361backed Senators | 47c | 45.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…d4c5backed Senators | 50c | 44.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…bcccbacked Blues | 50c | 44.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a5…7c9cbacked Blues | 51c | 44.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…3fe6backed Senators | 47c | 44.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…fc61backed Senators | 50c | 44.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…9c1fbacked Blues | 50c | 44.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…a43ebacked Blues | 53c | 44.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…8e85backed Senators | 48c | 43.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0830…2195backed Senators | 48c | 43.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…e7edbacked Senators | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…7618backed Senators | 48c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…664fbacked Senators | 42c | 42.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…6555backed Senators | 49c | 42.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.