Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x021d4e6bd893d1a7cc74c08c43d5de4cb0689f3e3aaf41e85b585fa051a5b805
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 41c | 1,568$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.85 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 1,356$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.94 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…7fd7backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 585.03$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.43 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 53c | 460$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 356.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.1 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 329.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.18 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 40c | 329.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 127.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 40c | 99.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 55c | 98.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…afc3backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 71c | 26.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…2c66backed Over | 65c | 22.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a70…e339backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.