Asian League · resolved market
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa68b863ce57ab50c5b17efe1f8fbf0eca2d2d6a5f0dfa1d728554af5322c7443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Over | 50c | 3,872$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 1,722$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 49c | 1,362$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 1,276$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.47 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 25c | 881.9$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Over | 12c | 825$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 52c | 797.06$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 742.8$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 41c | 448.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 273$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 65c | 253.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 49c | 139.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Over | 46c | 130.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Over | 46c | 109$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 90.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 29c | 86.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…443ebacked Under | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 51c | 38.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 41c | 33.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb19…9a2abacked Under | 59c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe953…7be7backed Under | 52c | 27.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 66c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Kashima Antlers (-1.5)Yokohama F·Marinos won
- Spread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)Kashima Antlers won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 1.5Over won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.