CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0253ed31946a5a08491ef76abac4207522e1871de287afe94656db7c9d9ed28c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FORZE Reload | 74c | 1,195$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.45 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Donstu Esports | 26c | 606.93$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed FORZE Reload | 57c | 393$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Donstu Esports | 27c | 321$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Donstu Esports | 27c | 307.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 288.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Donstu Esports | 32c | 228.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a100backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 171$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked FORZE Reload | 68c | 163.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed FORZE Reload | 70c | 143.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Donstu Esports | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed FORZE Reload | 69c | 56.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Donstu Esports | 29c | 52.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Donstu Esports | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Donstu Esports | 41c | 46.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed FORZE Reload | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FORZE Reload | 65c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed FORZE Reload | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group BFORZE Reload won
- Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.