CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group B

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896942be888582a76af8da48db29f557450207e59741c09f52f3c8f7cfead296

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, Donstu Esports
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,497 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5135…7217backed Donstu Esports	13c	3,551$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.95	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Donstu Esports	14c	2,118$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.77	122	44.3%54 W · 68 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Donstu Esports	14c	2,020$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.77	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Donstu Esports	13c	1,923$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Donstu Esports	18c	1,874$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.22	341	40.8%139 W · 202 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Donstu Esports	14c	1,002$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a47fbacked Donstu Esports	17c	883.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Donstu Esports	14c	866.41$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.3	387	39.5%153 W · 234 L	-15.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e91…391dbacked Donstu Esports	13c	822.46$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.64	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Donstu Esports	16c	788.95$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.42	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1d…c307backed Donstu Esports	23c	757.26$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.91	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Donstu Esports	15c	730.87$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.23	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9b51…cf1ebacked Donstu Esports	12c	553.26$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.31	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-4.6wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Donstu Esports	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	165	50.3%83 W · 82 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fc…6815backed Donstu Esports	19c	466$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.54	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Donstu Esports	13c	449$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.66	673	72.2%486 W · 187 L	+119.1wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked Donstu Esports	17c	447.06$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Donstu Esports	15c	415.7$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.83	758	33.4%253 W · 505 L	-48.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked Donstu Esports	12c	410$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	99	33.3%33 W · 66 L	-9.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd1…864bbacked Donstu Esports	13c	408.13$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.06	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Donstu Esports	14c	407.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.1	378	48.1%182 W · 196 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae22…3ab3backed Donstu Esports	13c	407$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.91	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.9wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Donstu Esports	13c	402.94$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.32	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Donstu Esports	13c	387.5$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.61	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Donstu Esports	13c	380.12$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.42	482	42.1%203 W · 279 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Donstu Esports	15c	355.09$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.26	227	29.1%66 W · 161 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed Donstu Esports	14c	325.18$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.31	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Donstu Esports	13c	281.54$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Donstu Esports	13c	275$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Donstu Esports	26c	265$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.65	333	40.2%134 W · 199 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Donstu Esports	13c	252$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	171	42.1%72 W · 99 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Donstu Esports	15c	250.3$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.37	162	45.7%74 W · 88 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Donstu Esports	13c	248.43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.01	89	36%32 W · 57 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb69…cdf0backed Donstu Esports	19c	246.26$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.79	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Donstu Esports	13c	240$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	388	44.3%172 W · 216 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Donstu Esports	13c	220$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	224	55.8%125 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Donstu Esports	13c	210$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Donstu Esports	12c	204.98$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	338	49.7%168 W · 170 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Donstu Esports	15c	202$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	1,076	37.6%405 W · 671 L	+34.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39df…6edfbacked Donstu Esports	14c	194.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.19	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Donstu Esports	14c	164.64$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.05	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56bf…0852backed Donstu Esports	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports	9c	155$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Donstu Esports	14c	138.57$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	237	32.9%78 W · 159 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa297…849abacked Donstu Esports	14c	127.27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.82	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked Donstu Esports	17c	125$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58db…6901backed Donstu Esports	13c	115.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde57…666fbacked Donstu Esports	13c	106.8$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.88	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-5.5wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa005…abb1backed Donstu Esports	13c	94.25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	168	47.6%80 W · 88 L	-9.5wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Donstu Esports	15c	90$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	919	45.8%421 W · 498 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd1…9ac5backed Donstu Esports	13c	77.38$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.06	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6083…aa55backed Donstu Esports	16c	73.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Donstu Esports	18c	54.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	512	52.1%267 W · 245 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Donstu Esports	21c	49.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked FORZE Reload	78c	33.78$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.43	1,068	55%587 W · 481 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed FORZE Reload	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	101	52.5%53 W · 48 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked FORZE Reload	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+8.9wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Bthis page
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerFORZE Reload won
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerFORZE Reload won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group B

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event