Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026d8090ecb76749adf5379870aa03ffbc98a60d8e0f5aacb7012202db33df91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof DNSTY, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,718 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Barça eSports | 61c | 1,624$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.58 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed DNSTY | 40c | 613$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.23 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed DNSTY | 31c | 485.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed DNSTY | 38c | 313$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.94 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked DNSTY | 40c | 311.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed DNSTY | 27c | 279$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked DNSTY | 39c | 264$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed DNSTY | 35c | 247.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked DNSTY | 47c | 244.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed DNSTY | 39c | 200.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Barça eSports | 63c | 188.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked DNSTY | 50c | 184.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9512…a3d7backed Barça eSports | 56c | 178.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Barça eSports | 54c | 157.32$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked DNSTY | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed DNSTY | 39c | 131.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked DNSTY | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked DNSTY | 45c | 111.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed DNSTY | 40c | 93.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked DNSTY | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed DNSTY | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed DNSTY | 40c | 59.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed DNSTY | 31c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed DNSTY | 39c | 54.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed DNSTY | 43c | 53.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed DNSTY | 40c | 53.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed DNSTY | 43c | 52.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DNSTY | 37c | 50.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Barça eSports | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb39c…7cbfbacked DNSTY | 54c | 37.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked DNSTY | 37c | 32.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…5822backed Barça eSports | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Barça eSports | 51c | 31.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Barça eSports | 51c | 31.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Barça eSports | 51c | 31.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Barça eSports | 59c | 30.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked DNSTY | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed DNSTY | 49c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Barça eSports | 51c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…7593backed Barça eSports | 51c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…80d0backed Barça eSports | 51c | 20.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Barça eSports | 64c | 20.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…114dbacked Barça eSports | 76c | 19.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports (BO5) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 1 WinnerDNSTY won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
- Valorant: DNSTY vs Barça eSports - Map 3 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.