Tennis · resolved market
ITF Caserta: Noemi Basiletti vs Gabriela Ce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02eeaef019ee4b478c7a7ca1b339446616372a0d7d86ba3ab7286895683b17a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriela Ceof Noemi Basiletti, Gabriela Ce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Noemi Basiletti | 29c | 14,471$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.57 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gabriela Ce | 74c | 6,242$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gabriela Ce | 58c | 1,655$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gabriela Ce | 64c | 555.25$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Gabriela Ce | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Noemi Basiletti | 30c | 404.53$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gabriela Ce | 53c | 282.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.99 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Gabriela Ce | 79c | 269.59$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Gabriela Ce | 64c | 203.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Gabriela Ce | 64c | 181.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gabriela Ce | 67c | 176.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Gabriela Ce | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Gabriela Ce | 59c | 148.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Gabriela Ce | 55c | 139.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Noemi Basiletti | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Gabriela Ce | 62c | 128.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked Gabriela Ce | 51c | 128.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Noemi Basiletti | 78c | 127.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Gabriela Ce | 59c | 100.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gabriela Ce | 71c | 93.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gabriela Ce | 59c | 90.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noemi Basiletti | 21c | 90.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Gabriela Ce | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Gabriela Ce | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Gabriela Ce | 64c | 77.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Gabriela Ce | 72c | 75.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Gabriela Ce | 22c | 70.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Noemi Basiletti | 22c | 61.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Noemi Basiletti | 56c | 60.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Noemi Basiletti | 78c | 55.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Noemi Basiletti | 20c | 52.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Gabriela Ce | 21c | 48.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…b0ecbacked Gabriela Ce | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 127 | 34.6%44 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Noemi Basiletti | 33c | 39.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Gabriela Ce | 80c | 37.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gabriela Ce | 56c | 34.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Gabriela Ce | 75c | 23.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 398 | 45.5%181 W · 217 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Gabriela Ce | 61c | 22.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Gabriela Ce | 49c | 20.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gabriela Ce | 61c | 18.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gabriela Ce | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.