CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0313575c8310900d8a1c9c2ebf79a9a8f5fb7ef2e1f7d94fb7eb4b9c29aa5031
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MINLATEof MINLATE, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,046 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 45c | 2,284$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.55 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Bebop | 38c | 2,197$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.46 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MINLATE | 68c | 2,169$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.68 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MINLATE | 65c | 1,779$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.27 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Bebop | 1c | 1,462$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE | 50c | 970.61$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 21c | 949$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked MINLATE | 40c | 648.07$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.77 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bebop | 51c | 616.74$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked MINLATE | 65c | 403.51$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.32 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Bebop | 50c | 297.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa0…c3acbacked MINLATE | 68c | 292.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Bebop | 22c | 276.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed MINLATE | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 42c | 242.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 21c | 230.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…131cbacked MINLATE | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MINLATE | 57c | 185.68$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked MINLATE | 68c | 165.59$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bebop | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MINLATE | 53c | 118.02$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bebop | 40c | 114$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed MINLATE | 40c | 100.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed MINLATE | 50c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MINLATE | 56c | 98.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Bebop | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Bebop | 43c | 72.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Bebop | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Bebop | 52c | 67.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed MINLATE | 33c | 60.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Bebop | 43c | 57.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MINLATE | 43c | 39.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bebop | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MINLATE | 50c | 30.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked MINLATE | 49c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…191cbacked MINLATE | 69c | 25.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked MINLATE | 43c | 23.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked Bebop | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed MINLATE | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MINLATE | 70c | 14.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group StageMINLATE won
- Counter-Strike: MINLATE vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.