CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x033525e7ce9cce005a47526d2ec5b35275adb7fcb2400a3af036ae8ae4f454d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof AM Gaming, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,003 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ASTRAL | 1c | 3,719$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ASTRAL | 34c | 1,640$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.59 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL | 27c | 1,266$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed AM Gaming | 54c | 1,242$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.9 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked AM Gaming | 45c | 1,221$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.57 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked AM Gaming | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ASTRAL | 38c | 1,094$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed AM Gaming | 66c | 1,082$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.85 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ASTRAL | 47c | 999.4$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ASTRAL | 42c | 904.04$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.32 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 35c | 723.72$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ASTRAL | 41c | 690.03$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.63 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ASTRAL | 35c | 353.28$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…3ff2backed AM Gaming | 65c | 305.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed AM Gaming | 66c | 305.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed AM Gaming | 66c | 304.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 20c | 283.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed AM Gaming | 49c | 276.76$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.93 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked AM Gaming | 77c | 237.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed AM Gaming | 65c | 197.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed AM Gaming | 58c | 183.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AM Gaming | 63c | 176.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed AM Gaming | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ASTRAL | 35c | 162.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL | 22c | 155$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed AM Gaming | 65c | 151.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 217 | 52.5%114 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked ASTRAL | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.64 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked AM Gaming | 68c | 149.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked ASTRAL | 34c | 135.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed AM Gaming | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed AM Gaming | 77c | 129.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e2…005cbacked ASTRAL | 42c | 119.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +143%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed AM Gaming | 79c | 119$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL | 27c | 110.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked ASTRAL | 26c | 99.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed AM Gaming | 66c | 87.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked AM Gaming | 51c | 79.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ASTRAL | 63c | 78.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked AM Gaming | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed AM Gaming | 67c | 64.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed AM Gaming | 43c | 61.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked AM Gaming | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed ASTRAL | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…57c9backed AM Gaming | 49c | 58.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed AM Gaming | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…a36cbacked ASTRAL | 62c | 48.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd531…f32bbacked ASTRAL | 37c | 48.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL | 32c | 47.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed AM Gaming | 71c | 47.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed ASTRAL | 46c | 47.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed AM Gaming | 52c | 43.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ASTRAL | 33c | 42.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed ASTRAL | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…d21abacked ASTRAL | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…a350backed AM Gaming | 73c | 29.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed AM Gaming | 68c | 26.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed AM Gaming | 66c | 26.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked ASTRAL | 50c | 25.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed AM Gaming | 64c | 23.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked AM Gaming | 52c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked AM Gaming | 65c | 20.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed AM Gaming | 65c | 20.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed ASTRAL | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed AM Gaming | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked AM Gaming | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ASTRAL (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ASTRAL - Map 2 WinnerASTRAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.