CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03380e4cf888bbfd8c9c8b66dc9efdd0d845ddcadcbc04319c444be739a3a931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfadd…3955backed BIG | 43c | 1,588$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.76 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 60c | 1,220$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 20c | 760.71$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1e…f6a4backed BIG | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ce…2054backed BIG | 19c | 429.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Nemiga | 56c | 407.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nemiga | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BIG | 32c | 296.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed BIG | 46c | 278.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed BIG | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed BIG | 66c | 151.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed BIG | 54c | 149.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Nemiga | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked BIG | 27c | 106.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BIG | 57c | 95.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nemiga | 58c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked BIG | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…c39bbacked Nemiga | 43c | 65.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Nemiga | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga | 60c | 56.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed BIG | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed BIG | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Nemiga | 58c | 36.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs BIG - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.