Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vic: Daniel Rincon vs Sergi Perez Contri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x034a9a9b89cad3c07c47ad217d81f4314e465fce54ba8a4067dcc860ee46328f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daniel Rinconof Daniel Rincon, Sergi Perez Contri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Daniel Rincon | 73c | 1,093$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sergi Perez Contri | 3c | 959$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 26c | 771.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sergi Perez Contri | 39c | 567.02$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Daniel Rincon | 79c | 336$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Daniel Rincon | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…af61backed Sergi Perez Contri | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Daniel Rincon | 61c | 293.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sergi Perez Contri | 29c | 267.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…1951backed Sergi Perez Contri | 29c | 249.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…20f9backed Sergi Perez Contri | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Sergi Perez Contri | 20c | 149.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…df7fbacked Daniel Rincon | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…f6d0backed Daniel Rincon | 71c | 119.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…d0babacked Daniel Rincon | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d36…18a9backed Daniel Rincon | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7eebbacked Daniel Rincon | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b18…84f7backed Daniel Rincon | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…8775backed Daniel Rincon | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Daniel Rincon | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Daniel Rincon | 66c | 86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Daniel Rincon | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Daniel Rincon | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Daniel Rincon | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daniel Rincon | 76c | 34.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba0…f15bbacked Daniel Rincon | 53c | 19.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.