Fifa International · resolved market
Mozambique vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a30f62b8cdb8b4365d19fffbe55bd5459c4002dd5e914528169d80f833c9f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 58c | 4,032$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 2,801$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.13 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 1,800$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.21 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 54c | 1,096$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.1 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 56c | 899.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 464.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.62 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Over | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 49c | 404.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.69 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Under | 61c | 328$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 19c | 316.15$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 197.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Over | 67c | 192.54$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 44c | 167.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 163.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 157.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Under | 65c | 132.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…d99dbacked Over | 49c | 123.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 58c | 117.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 56c | 95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…1bb1backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 67c | 23.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e9…a60cbacked Under | 53c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mozambique vs. Cameroon: O/U 2.5this page
- Mozambique vs. Cameroon: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Mozambique vs. Cameroon: O/U 1.5Over won
- Mozambique vs. Cameroon: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mozambique vs. Cameroon: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.