CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03a8693a1ab011987971d3e8760a1bf09c85dbdeac21e29474ab9c349c06be45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Just Playersof AM Gaming, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked AM Gaming | 49c | 457.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.89 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Just Players | 43c | 376.26$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…0f98backed AM Gaming | 32c | 349.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked AM Gaming | 41c | 333.24$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…1c5bbacked Just Players | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Just Players | 65c | 288$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Just Players | 54c | 276.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked AM Gaming | 40c | 248.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…286bbacked AM Gaming | 12c | 242.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Just Players | 62c | 235.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed AM Gaming | 8c | 209.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Just Players | 59c | 204.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Just Players | 55c | 188.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 56c | 185.58$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed AM Gaming | 57c | 180.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.94 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed AM Gaming | 38c | 180.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AM Gaming | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Just Players | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed AM Gaming | 50c | 111.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed AM Gaming | 19c | 105.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked AM Gaming | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Just Players | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed AM Gaming | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…1528backed AM Gaming | 33c | 60.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…bcefbacked Just Players | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…095dbacked Just Players | 48c | 46.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Just Players | 68c | 42.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked AM Gaming | 63c | 28.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked AM Gaming | 71c | 28.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked Just Players | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerJust Players won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerJust Players won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.