Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03d6e2dba3cdfae6e153f40783aa38f013bce3cf21a5401432662d99ce4f745a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 549.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.75 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 47c | 473.59$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.45 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 50c | 449.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 57c | 449.96$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.68 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 295$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 21c | 224$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 165.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 53c | 165.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 78c | 143.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 130.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed Under | 49c | 128.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 49c | 76.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 147 | 67.3%99 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 67.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 43c | 45.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 80c | 36.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 46c | 23.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +11.3wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 68c | 17.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 2.5this page
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: FC Malisheva O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 3.5Under won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)KF Vllaznia Shkodër won
- Spread: KF Vllaznia Shkodër (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: KF Vllaznia Shkodër (-2.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.