Europa Conference League · resolved market
KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x647d47b44432ac64f52b7eef9b31668a433d8acd2675995163471a1f7daa85c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 53c | 2,353$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.13 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 2,265$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.31 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,309$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 728.05$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 34c | 299.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 66c | 195$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.58 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 62c | 120.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 34c | 97.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 96.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 34c | 96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 77.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 68.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 30.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…1757backed Under | 73c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 3.5this page
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: FC Malisheva O/U 1.5Under won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: KF Vllaznia Shkodër O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 0.5Over won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 1.5Over won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 2.5Over won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 4.5Under won
- KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Malisheva (-1.5)KF Vllaznia Shkodër won
- Spread: KF Vllaznia Shkodër (-1.5)FC Malisheva won
- Spread: KF Vllaznia Shkodër (-2.5)FC Malisheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.