NHL · resolved market
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Cleveland Monsters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0422d93d04b41b348bdb984fddbc76d43d8bc8fabecbf0ccfe91611ec977cdb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Monstersof Rochester Americans, Cleveland Monsters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Rochester Americans | 50c | 6,455$3,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,223.79 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 2,737$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 1,381$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.2 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Rochester Americans | 51c | 1,178$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 787.8$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.78 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…d0cfbacked Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 732.65$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Rochester Americans | 50c | 489.84$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rochester Americans | 49c | 249.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Cleveland Monsters | 50c | 248.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Cleveland Monsters | 50c | 176.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 114.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 108.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 97.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…2964backed Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 96.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cleveland Monsters | 48c | 89.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…e347backed Cleveland Monsters | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Cleveland Monsters | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Cleveland Monsters | 29c | 48.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rochester Americans | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cleveland Monsters | 51c | 41.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Rochester Americans | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.