Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x045d976bdbe01a7407c412608c47a05db19fc554ab7f5901cf69acc69a9f0b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 6,458$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 6,156$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.92 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 58c | 3,382$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.93 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 2,465$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.94 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 62c | 2,391$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 24c | 1,600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 1,254$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 1,140$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 64c | 942.96$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 56c | 894.99$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.19 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Over | 19c | 870.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…8621backed Over | 25c | 728.62$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 55c | 456.92$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 330$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 261.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 42c | 236.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 56c | 230.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 193.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 61c | 108.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ae…2532backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 71.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 55c | 51.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 61c | 37.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 31.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 59c | 27.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…5daebacked Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 22.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Twente '65 vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)FC Twente '65 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.