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Tennis · resolved market

ITF M25 Poznan Men: Gerard Campana Lee vs Jiri Cizek

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gerard Campana Leeof Gerard Campana Lee, Jiri Cizek
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Gerard Campana Lee68c2,143$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.6911,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Jiri Cizek30c1,610$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.0924952.2%130 W · 119 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Jiri Cizek36c1,596$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.543652.1%227 W · 209 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…31c7backed Jiri Cizek30c850$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Gerard Campana Lee65c317.54$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.561,00857.7%582 W · 426 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8c…e040backed Jiri Cizek18c188.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9165437.5%245 W · 409 L-33.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Jiri Cizek18c160$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.879238.3%303 W · 489 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Jiri Cizek24c152.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jiri Cizek19c116.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.218,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Jiri Cizek44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,00049.8%498 W · 502 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Jiri Cizek30c104.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2516054.4%87 W · 73 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Gerard Campana Lee67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3353946.9%253 W · 286 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Jiri Cizek51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Gerard Campana Lee75c93.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3699148.6%482 W · 509 L+43.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Jiri Cizek20c72.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5737549.1%184 W · 191 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Gerard Campana Lee80c61.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3833648.5%163 W · 173 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa58b…dd02backed Jiri Cizek30c61.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.315030%15 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Jiri Cizek32c60.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.341,00938.3%386 W · 623 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Jiri Cizek32c60.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3457736.7%212 W · 365 L-2.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc02…ce2abacked Gerard Campana Lee77c39.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1422872.4%165 W · 63 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.