Tennis · resolved market
BMW Open, Qualification: Emilio Nava vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05010ec5927457844ebfc74ab34cb0056f74fcadda34b555d20326a7ed95228f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emilio Navaof Emilio Nava, David Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed David Goffin | 10c | 10,141$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.79 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked David Goffin | 24c | 6,661$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.42 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked David Goffin | 17c | 3,798$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.77 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked David Goffin | 5c | 2,898$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked David Goffin | 7c | 2,499$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed David Goffin | 13c | 2,385$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked David Goffin | 22c | 2,327$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.75 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Emilio Nava | 71c | 1,586$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.75 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Emilio Nava | 70c | 1,425$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.98 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed David Goffin | 32c | 1,259$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.89 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed David Goffin | 35c | 1,226$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.79 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed David Goffin | 4c | 901.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…f611backed David Goffin | 22c | 405.02$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed David Goffin | 34c | 386.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed David Goffin | 13c | 348.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Emilio Nava | 68c | 344.72$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked David Goffin | 30c | 319.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Emilio Nava | 78c | 300.83$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed David Goffin | 36c | 267.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed David Goffin | 10c | 221.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Emilio Nava | 79c | 195.87$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed David Goffin | 33c | 169.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Emilio Nava | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed David Goffin | 35c | 137.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Emilio Nava | 72c | 136.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 45 | 84.4%38 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed David Goffin | 17c | 125.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked David Goffin | 24c | 125.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 117.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 115.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed David Goffin | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…0eaabacked Emilio Nava | 68c | 103.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Emilio Nava | 66c | 102.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked David Goffin | 18c | 100.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed David Goffin | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed David Goffin | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed David Goffin | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed David Goffin | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Emilio Nava | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed David Goffin | 33c | 94.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Emilio Nava | 77c | 92.24$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked David Goffin | 34c | 88.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 82.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…82e6backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 73.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Emilio Nava | 74c | 73.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked David Goffin | 33c | 71.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked David Goffin | 29c | 70.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Emilio Nava | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…5547backed Emilio Nava | 69c | 57.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked David Goffin | 36c | 57.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Emilio Nava | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…5075backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 51.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed David Goffin | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Emilio Nava | 78c | 43.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked David Goffin | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe488…b022backed David Goffin | 34c | 39.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked David Goffin | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Emilio Nava | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…4688backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6031…de1ebacked Emilio Nava | 73c | 26.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…8ab4backed Emilio Nava | 68c | 23.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…7165backed Emilio Nava | 79c | 21.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Emilio Nava | 65c | 21.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Emilio Nava | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Emilio Nava | 71c | 19.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Emilio Nava | 79c | 19.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Emilio Nava | 64c | 17.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Emilio Nava | 68c | 17.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Emilio Nava | 79c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.