Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Bilbao Basket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051f80af2cc2478edd0607ae395768bf4280807889a1f9939023644a0d555345
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Bilbao Basket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valencia | 74c | 3,778$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.7 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Bilbao Basket | 19c | 3,415$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Bilbao Basket | 10c | 985.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bilbao Basket | 24c | 975.92$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilbao Basket | 30c | 874.74$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Valencia | 77c | 867.13$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.52 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bilbao Basket | 32c | 781$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Valencia | 80c | 770.15$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Bilbao Basket | 18c | 677$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bilbao Basket | 15c | 646.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Bilbao Basket | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Bilbao Basket | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bilbao Basket | 4c | 319.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Bilbao Basket | 16c | 301.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Bilbao Basket | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bilbao Basket | 11c | 142.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Bilbao Basket | 44c | 105.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bilbao Basket | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 79c | 89.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilbao Basket | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Valencia | 65c | 79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bilbao Basket | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bilbao Basket | 26c | 69.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Valencia | 56c | 64.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bilbao Basket | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bilbao Basket | 23c | 54.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Valencia | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Bilbao Basket | 48c | 38.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Bilbao Basket | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Valencia | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Valencia | 58c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.