Tennis · resolved market
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Daniel Dutra da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05424399a9667a0edb70e018acf504d057da4d4faa2622b8cbaeafe0f9f54fea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Carlos Pradoof Juan Carlos Prado, Daniel Dutra da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,686 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 1c | 3,812$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 20c | 1,422$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.8 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 41c | 530.02$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.69 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 69c | 450.16$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.64 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…7553backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 30c | 234$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 56c | 231.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.68 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Carlos Prado | 38c | 216.56$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 154.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 150.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 71c | 95.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Juan Carlos Prado | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Juan Carlos Prado | 43c | 90.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 56c | 88.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 46c | 83.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 79.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…7febbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 44c | 70.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 32c | 60.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 54c | 59.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 40c | 56.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Carlos Prado | 78c | 47.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 33c | 43.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…5c6dbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 46c | 35.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Juan Carlos Prado | 65c | 34.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Juan Carlos Prado | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 49c | 27.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 65c | 27.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.