Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0554cd6211c580b0cd0fe1a2608e498b6574d0278ef2ddee6599c7ff6695d2bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liaoning Flying Leopardsof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Liaoning Flying Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 19c | 2,677$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 19c | 2,486$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.17 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 8c | 2,135$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 16c | 1,647$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.12 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 1,375$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.44 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 79c | 539.94$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 66c | 494.7$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 421.4$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.63 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 26c | 399$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 67c | 391.7$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 18c | 301.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…c105backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 30c | 229.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 214.03$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 63c | 193.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 33c | 170.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 35c | 165.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 149.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 68c | 134.13$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 113.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 110$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c3eebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 53c | 102.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…8b48backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 88.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 39c | 80.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 32c | 71.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 18c | 61.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 20c | 53.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 62c | 53.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 47c | 52.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…fe34backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 35c | 47.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 53c | 40.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 38c | 31.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 41c | 25.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…d301backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 63c | 21.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 59c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 63c | 18.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.