Other European Leagues · resolved market
Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x058b7effc89705a7456e9f6cb92d6820730a101596a0a70969bc9d4a43bac99b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 2,434$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 20c | 1,683$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.41 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 58c | 1,674$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 1,355$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.81 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 944.47$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 43c | 921.96$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 32c | 510$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.53 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Over | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4d…be6fbacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 80c | 263.28$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.66 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792e…fd6cbacked Over | 67c | 261.64$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 61c | 243.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 42c | 239.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Under | 66c | 192.48$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 190.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 79c | 174.73$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 29c | 164$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.44 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 79c | 152$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 44c | 129.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 123.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 43c | 113.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Over | 47c | 107.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 58c | 104.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 22c | 88.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 79c | 74.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Over | 20c | 62.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 18c | 59.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 70c | 40.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 51c | 29.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 80c | 26.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 25.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 24.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 80c | 18.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 80c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 4.5this page
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: IFK Goteborg O/U 1.5Under won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: Malmo FF O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 0.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Malmo FF vs. IFK Goteborg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: IFK Goteborg (-2.5)Malmo FF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)Malmo FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.