Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ddfdf68c7dd850442acdd2162a88a9ecbb5208649f6630bd9072b0900449b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eintracht Spandauof Eintracht Spandau, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 5,018$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.91 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 4,316$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.9 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 1,908$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.15 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 1,190$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.66 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 1,163$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.25 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 1,036$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.71 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 890$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.6 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Eintracht Spandau | 54c | 881.17$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.8 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 681.7$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 47c | 536.17$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 42c | 517.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.24 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 450$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Spandau | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 179$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 86.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Eintracht Spandau | 56c | 61.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Eintracht Spandau | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Eintracht Spandau | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 219 | 45.2%99 W · 120 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 44c | 34.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Eintracht Spandau | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 2 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
- LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 3 WinnerEintracht Spandau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.