La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05df9e57ce077b9f979411f7a14c6735ff3f93b4a57bb7d62553065cb36406ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 869.87$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.4 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 710.34$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.39 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 42c | 703.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 604.8$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 57c | 275.25$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 58c | 217.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 42c | 102.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 42c | 66.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 39c | 40.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 39.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 70c | 38.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc505…21bebacked Yes | 33c | 34.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 64c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 69c | 19.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 78c | 13.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.