Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05ef4d3d05c837e5affd5f625328e4fafd056364f2a16d3d199cae94d8edd3fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asylzhan Arystanbekovaof Ekaterina Tupitsyna, Asylzhan Arystanbekova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 60c | 2,526$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 79c | 900$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.25 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 76c | 523$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.48 | 221 | 52%115 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 71c | 389.37$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 58c | 342.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.72 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 33c | 329.49$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 72c | 161.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 68c | 143.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 71c | 121.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 29c | 107.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 42c | 84.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 74c | 68.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…fcc6backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 23c | 67.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 79c | 67.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 18c | 56.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 78c | 55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…4697backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 25c | 53.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 72c | 47.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 25c | 44.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 52c | 43.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…8580backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 35c | 35.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 72c | 31.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd319…5f7bbacked Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 38c | 31.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Ekaterina Tupitsyna | 72c | 25.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 54c | 24.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Asylzhan Arystanbekova | 72c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.