Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Kisa Yoshioka vs Eunchae Kim
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0619f998c1adad16dca0b558da832939771c1582fc8f1a7ca491d4e1240d3887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eunchae Kimof Kisa Yoshioka, Eunchae Kim
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245d…6a05backed Kisa Yoshioka | 7c | 351.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eunchae Kim | 77c | 283.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eunchae Kim | 76c | 199.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kisa Yoshioka | 50c | 91.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kisa Yoshioka | 48c | 83.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kisa Yoshioka | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eunchae Kim | 48c | 65.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Kisa Yoshioka | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Eunchae Kim | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eunchae Kim | 52c | 38.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Eunchae Kim | 66c | 37.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kisa Yoshioka | 38c | 33.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Eunchae Kim | 46c | 33.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Eunchae Kim | 69c | 28.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc09f…8865backed Kisa Yoshioka | 40c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Kisa Yoshioka | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Kisa Yoshioka | 48c | 23.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eunchae Kim | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.