Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Butler Bulldogs vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 162.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x063ae3fe3583c2e2ad5577c378735adf0edc5a51ad138b2206dd3325fb38506e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 55c | 4,855$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.55 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 4,509$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 53c | 1,007$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.26 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 45c | 649.37$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.22 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 52c | 553.12$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 38c | 417.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.95 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 260.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Over | 45c | 221.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 53c | 126.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 58c | 111.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 36c | 96.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 92.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Under | 54c | 27.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed Under | 66c | 22.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 57c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 67c | 16.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Butler Bulldogs vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 162.5this page
- Butler Bulldogs vs. St. John's Red StormSt. John's Red Storm won
- Butler Bulldogs vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 161.5Over won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-11.5)St. John's Red Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.