South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064b435cd75fad2e8727939bb09ce718cb4bec19a29d4b0c2c2d3e226f99a4f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,814 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 34c | 4,967$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.15 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 3,003$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.08 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 66c | 1,275$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.5 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 67c | 759.64$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 32c | 752$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 544.17$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 66c | 470$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 375$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 66c | 344.71$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 67c | 293$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 267.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 248.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 204.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 74c | 172$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 165.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 11c | 106.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 32c | 105.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 101.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…2291backed Yes | 34c | 89.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 67c | 67.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 22c | 48.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 67c | 18.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.