Tennis · resolved market
Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Lucio Ratti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0681b7e0ce6d61ee1a437db7bf4fd7163f735060b0a655406fb55f3fe0727bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzalo Buenoof Gonzalo Bueno, Lucio Ratti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Gonzalo Bueno | 78c | 2,532$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.62 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucio Ratti | 22c | 2,256$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.66 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucio Ratti | 8c | 1,433$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Gonzalo Bueno | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.34 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Lucio Ratti | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…dd6bbacked Lucio Ratti | 26c | 955.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.48 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Lucio Ratti | 24c | 795.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.88 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Lucio Ratti | 12c | 790.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Lucio Ratti | 12c | 459.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lucio Ratti | 10c | 454.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Lucio Ratti | 11c | 409.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 362.92$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Lucio Ratti | 25c | 311.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Lucio Ratti | 6c | 295.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lucio Ratti | 21c | 268.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Lucio Ratti | 16c | 234.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Lucio Ratti | 15c | 191.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Lucio Ratti | 24c | 190.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Lucio Ratti | 23c | 173.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Lucio Ratti | 25c | 171.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Lucio Ratti | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Lucio Ratti | 25c | 147.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ec…4401backed Lucio Ratti | 11c | 134.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 134$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 129.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Lucio Ratti | 16c | 125.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Gonzalo Bueno | 75c | 117.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 75c | 95.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…8e4fbacked Lucio Ratti | 13c | 89.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 80.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 104 | 74%77 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lucio Ratti | 13c | 80.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gonzalo Bueno | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 76.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2016…0a7bbacked Lucio Ratti | 23c | 64.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…99dabacked Lucio Ratti | 27c | 58.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -6.3wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Lucio Ratti | 28c | 46.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 45.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…8923backed Gonzalo Bueno | 75c | 39.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Gonzalo Bueno | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 33.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Gonzalo Bueno | 77c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Gonzalo Bueno | 76c | 19.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Gonzalo Bueno | 72c | 18.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.