Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b1d4d40559a835269184e1a04e082094791b2ca365d9fadd083594130f56b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 20c | 3,589$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.58 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 2,072$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.56 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 80c | 1,600$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 11c | 1,250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.12 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 7c | 1,060$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 729.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 21c | 588.96$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 6c | 407.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.69 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +82%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 28c | 220.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 23c | 201.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 25c | 184.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 79c | 150$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 75c | 146.09$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.44 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 28c | 117.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 77c | 113.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 18c | 108.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 23c | 86.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 65c | 72.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 80c | 35.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Under | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 79c | 25.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Under | 71c | 22.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.