Asian League · resolved market
Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa8b4435c3b01e7dbd916c965f6a16e1d23a8c0d00e625839d2d44c3dc43ae7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 66c | 1,988$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.02 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 23c | 926.66$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 836.48$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.59 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…5ba0backed Over | 78c | 641.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 32c | 612.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 22c | 609.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 607.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 65c | 519.54$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 68c | 511.06$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.54 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 390.17$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 59c | 336.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 223.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 32c | 117.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 79c | 98.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 83.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 28c | 82.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 73.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Under | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 72c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Okhdood SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.