Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f05725ec331f38ee0c5e048e342b1a20501ce7ffc2c4c2a82467c771ec1f8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 56c | 10,647$5,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,722.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 5,399$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.95 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 5,074$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 40c | 1,026$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 61c | 484.15$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.82 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 437$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 59c | 293.33$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.7 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e80…b1e7backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 62c | 241.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.62 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…ad20backed Yes | 42c | 235.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 171.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 56c | 148.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.18 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 59c | 114.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 19c | 111.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 16c | 110$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 72c | 72.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 39c | 55.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 32.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 43c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.