Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3df1f2f24fcfa42edcf6d20037551db365e4dba88f1e6b5db6118055b91c0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 4,748$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.88 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 2,018$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.08 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 1,981$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.89 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 32c | 551.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 31c | 290.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 32c | 195.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 30c | 132.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 78c | 105.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 68c | 93.75$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 31c | 65.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5d…d1a1backed No | 71c | 59.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 44.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed Yes | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…cadcbacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Le Havre AC win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Le Havre AC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.