Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Vaishnavi Adkar vs Han Shi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06fbe1fd89c3b9e3c5019bb2d7ae13754b92e005ddd49e9ca7d5d6c5d41079f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Han Shiof Vaishnavi Adkar, Han Shi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Han Shi | 68c | 5,214$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.48 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 28c | 1,905$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.56 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 42c | 1,655$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.76 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 29c | 1,148$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Han Shi | 60c | 874.86$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Han Shi | 78c | 679.86$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 636.56$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.26 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 449$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.56 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Han Shi | 57c | 427.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Han Shi | 57c | 421.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Han Shi | 73c | 405.07$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 7c | 356.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 34c | 303.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 29c | 287.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 24c | 209.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 45c | 203.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Han Shi | 62c | 164.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 27c | 152.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 44c | 112.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 42c | 107.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 41c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 62.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 197 | 45.7%90 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 37c | 42.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 28c | 38.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Han Shi | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Han Shi | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Han Shi | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 29.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Han Shi | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…a6b4backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 42c | 24.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.