Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072408684ec9f9d403448174473618a810fadb1a3ceb16d4fc227e74b8e34461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventure Bonniesof St. Bonaventure Bonnies, La Salle Explorers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,582 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 3,919$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.03 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked La Salle Explorers | 49c | 2,021$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed La Salle Explorers | 49c | 1,883$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.43 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed La Salle Explorers | 47c | 1,784$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.63 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 53c | 1,716$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.29 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked La Salle Explorers | 47c | 1,699$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked La Salle Explorers | 46c | 1,660$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked La Salle Explorers | 26c | 1,371$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.23 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 76c | 502.21$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed La Salle Explorers | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked La Salle Explorers | 27c | 282$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.55 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked La Salle Explorers | 48c | 281.2$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked La Salle Explorers | 51c | 280.58$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked La Salle Explorers | 51c | 214.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 57c | 198.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 140.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb952…3561backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed La Salle Explorers | 26c | 107.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 53c | 102.53$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked La Salle Explorers | 49c | 102.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed La Salle Explorers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 54c | 98.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 61c | 98.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…fbfebacked La Salle Explorers | 46c | 77.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 77.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed La Salle Explorers | 44c | 74.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed La Salle Explorers | 46c | 69.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed La Salle Explorers | 36c | 60.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed La Salle Explorers | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked La Salle Explorers | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked La Salle Explorers | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed La Salle Explorers | 49c | 40.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed La Salle Explorers | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed La Salle Explorers | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f8…fe4dbacked La Salle Explorers | 46c | 31.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 55c | 30.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked La Salle Explorers | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 72c | 25.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-5.5)this page
- Spread: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (-6.5)St. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle ExplorersSt. Bonaventure Bonnies won
- St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 144.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.